Results of the Canadian federal election, 2004: Quebec and Atlantic Canada

Contents

Newfoundland and Labrador

Profile & Notes Electoral History
Newfoundland and Labrador has long been a Liberal heartland, with only the city of St. John's electingProgressive Conservatives on a relatively consistent basis. It remains to be seen if the new Conservative Party of Canada can match the old federal PC Party's level of support.

Notes:
1 - Barnes won seat in 2002 byelection; originally held by Liberal George Baker

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

Liberal
Conservative
NDP
Green		 Other
Avalon John Efford
18,335		 Rick Dalton
9,211		 Michael Kehoe
3,450		 Don Ferguson
430		   John Efford
Bonavista—Exploits Scott Simms
15,970		 Rex Barnes
13,786		 Samuel McLean
2,667		 Ed Sailor White
367		 John Lannon (Ind.)
344		 Rex Barnes1
Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte Gerry Byrne
17,820		 Wynanne Downer
6,538		 Holly Pike
3,743		 Steve Durant
384		   Gerry Byrne
Labrador Lawrence O'Brien
5,524		 Merrill Strachan
1,400		 Shawn Crann
856		 Lori-Ann Martino
178		 Ern Condon (Ind.)
919		 Lawrence O'Brien
Random—Burin—St. George's Bill Matthews
12,383		 Larry Peckford
4,820		 Desmond McGrath
8,797		 Justin Dollimont
474		   Bill Matthews
St. John's North Walter Noel
13,343		 Norman E. Doyle
15,073		 Janine Piller
7,198		 Scott Vokey
791		   Norman E. Doyle
St. John's South Siobhan Coady
11,879		 Loyola Hearn
13,330		 Peg Norman
7,989		 Steve Willcott
493		   Loyola Hearn

Prince Edward Island

Profile & Notes Electoral History
Prince Edward Island has not elected a non-Liberal MP since 1984. The riding of Cardigan has been the closest, with Lawrence MacAulay winning by less than 300 votes in both 1997 and 2000. Once again in 2004, the Liberals swept P.E.I. •••• 2004
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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

Liberal
Conservative
NDP
Green		 Other
Cardigan Lawrence MacAulay
11,064		 Peter McQuaid
6,889		 Dave MacKinnon
2,103		 Jeremy Stiles
670		   Lawrence MacAulay
Charlottetown Shawn Murphy
9,175		 Darren Peters
5,121		 Dody Crane
3,428		 Will McFadden
760		 Baird Judson (CHP)
105		 Shawn Murphy
Egmont Joe McGuire
10,220		 Reg Harper
5,363		 Regena Kaye Russell
2,133		 Irené Novaczek
717		   Joe McGuire
Malpeque Wayne Easter
9,782		 Mary Crane
6,126		 Ken Bingham
1,902		 Sharon Labchuk
1,037		   Wayne Easter

Nova Scotia

Profile & Notes Electoral History
The Liberals swept Nova Scotia in 1993, but managed to lose every single seat in 1997. Under former leader Alexa McDonough, the NDP made major gains in Nova Scotia in 1997 and 2000; picking up seats in the Halifax and Cape Breton areas. With Toronto's Jack Layton as leader, the NDP might not fare as well this time. The Liberals, wiped out in 1997, made a resurgence in 2000, and gained MP Scott Brison from the Conservatives in 2003. The Conservatives' strengths are concentrated in rural mainland Nova Scotia.

Notes:
1 - Lill not seeking re-election
2 - Brison defected from PC Party in Dec. 2003

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

Liberal
Conservative
NDP
Green		 Other
Cape Breton—Canso Rodger Cuzner
20,139		 Kenzie MacNeil
7,654		 Shirley Hartery
9,197		 Seumas Gibson
820		   Rodger Cuzner
Central Nova Susan Green
9,986		 Peter MacKay
16,376		 Alexis MacDonald
10,470		 Rebecca Steeves-Mosher
1,015		   Peter MacKay
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour Michael Savage
17,425		 Michael MacDonald
8,739		 Susan MacAlpine-Gillis
13,463		 Michael Marshall
1,311		 Tracy Parsons (PC)
415
Charles Spurr (M-L)
70		 Wendy Lill1
Halifax Sheila Fougere
17,267		 Kevin Keefe
6,457		 Alexa McDonough
18,341		 Michael Oddy
2,081		   Alexa McDonough
Halifax West Geoff Regan
19,083		 Ken MacPhee
8,413		 Bill Carr
11,228		 Martin Willison
1,452		   Geoff Regan
Kings—Hants Scott Brison
17,555		 Bob Mullan
11,344		 Skip Hambling
6,663		 Kevin Stacey
1,364		 James Hnatiuk (CHP)
493
Richard Hennigar (Ind.)
242		 Scott Brison2
North Nova Dianne Brushett
10,591		 Bill Casey
20,188		 Margaret Sagar
7,560		 Sheila G. Richardson
1,245		 Jack Moors (PC)
399		 Bill Casey
Sackville—Eastern Shore Dale Stevens
11,222		 Steve Streatch
8,363		 Peter Stoffer
17,925		 David Fullerton
1,007		 Greg Moors (PC)
645		 Peter Stoffer
South Shore—St. Margaret's John Chandler
12,658		 Gerald Keddy
14,954		 Gordon Earle
10,140		 Katie Boudreau
1,700		   Gerald Keddy
Sydney—Victoria Mark Eyking
19,372		 Howie MacDonald
5,897		 John Hugh Edwards
10,298		 Chris Milburn
855		 Cathy Thériault (Mar.)
474
Chris Gallant (Ind.)
264		 Mark Eyking
West Nova Robert Thibault
18,343		 Jon Carey
14,209		 Arthur Bull
9,086		 Matt Granger
1,385		   Robert Thibault

New Brunswick

Profile & Notes Electoral History
New Brunswick results in federal elections are divided among geographical and linguistic lines: The Liberals fare better in the predominantly francophone eastern and northern sections of the province, while the anglophone south and west has historically tended to favour the Conservatives. Although the Liberals hold three seats in the latter region (Fredericton, Fundy and Tobique-Mactaquac), each of them are generally believed to be more vulnerable; and the Conservatives are targeting all three in this election. In 1993, Saint John was one of only two ridings in the country to go Progressive Conservative, electing Elsie Wayne. One of them is held by John Herron, who defected from the old PC party in 2003. The NDP holds one seat in northeastern New Brunswick.

Notes:
1 - Herron is former PC, will run as a Liberal
2 - Castonguay not seeking re-election
3 - Wayne not seeking re-election

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

Liberal
Conservative
NDP
Green		 Other
Acadie—Bathurst Serge Rouselle
14,452		 Joel Bernard
4,841		 Yvon Godin
23,857		 Mario Lanteigne
1,085		   Yvon Godin
Beauséjour Dominic LeBlanc
21,934		 Angela Vautour
11,604		 Omer Bourque
6,056		 Anna Girouard
1,574		   Dominic LeBlanc
Fredericton Andy Scott
19,819		 Kent Fox
14,193		 John Carty
7,360		 Daron Letts
997		   Andy Scott
Fundy John Herron
11,635		 Rob Moore
14,997		 Pat Hanratty
5,417		 Karin Bach
1,051		 David Amos (Ind.)
358		 John Herron1
Madawaska—Restigouche Jean-Claude D'Amours
14,144		 Benoit Violette
7,605		 Rodolphe Martin
8,737		 Jovette Cyr
1,185		   Jeannot Castonguay2
Miramichi Charles Hubbard
15,647		 Michael Morrison
9,448		 Hilaire Rousselle
5,980		 Gary Sanipass
1,468		   Charles Hubbard
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe Claudette Bradshaw
25,266		 Jean LeBlanc
10,003		 Hélène Lapointe
5,344		 Judith Hamel
1,998		   Claudette Bradshaw
St. Croix—Belleisle James Dunlap
9,702		 Greg Thompson
16,339		 Patrick Webber
3,600		 Erik Millett
960		 David Szemerda (CAP)
194		 Greg Thompson
Saint John Paul Zed
15,725		 Bob McVicar
12,212		 Terry Albright
6,926		 Jonathan Cormier
807		 Tom Oland (Ind.)
290
Jim Wood (Mar.)
369		 Elsie Wayne3
Tobique—Mactaquac Andy Savoy
16,787		 Mike Allen
13,779		 Jason Mapplebeck
2,957		 Scott Jones
1,282		   Andy Savoy

Quebec

Throughout most of recent history, the Liberals have dominated in federal politics in Quebec, even when Quebec voters were simultaneously electing the Parti Québécois at the provincial level.

There have been temporary Conservative breakthroughs, under Diefenbaker in the 1958 election and under native son Brian Mulroney in the 1984 election and the 1988 election, but these did not last. The 1958 result was helped by an alliance with Maurice Duplessis's formidable provincial electoral machine, but by the 1962 election Duplessis had died and his Union Nationale party was out of office and in disarray, and Diefenbaker's support in Quebec had evaporated. And the Mulroney-era resurgence also collapsed entirely when he retired from politics.

The Bloc Québécois was formed for the 1993 election (in the aftermath of the failure of the Meech Lake Accord and Charlottetown Accord) and has won more seats in Quebec than the Liberals in every election it has run in. The number of seats won by the Bloc has declined in each successive election from 1993 to 1997 to 2000, but the party has now had a resurgence due to the sponsorship scandal and the unpopularity of Jean Charest's provincial Liberal government (which influences support for the federal Liberals even though the two parties are entirely independent of one another).

Polls show the Bloc with a strong lead, and they may return to the number of seats they had in 1993. However, the Liberals are likely to dominate in many parts of Montreal. Ridings where anglophone voters are a significant factor are among the safest Liberal seats in all of Canada.

The other two major federal parties, the Conservatives and the New Democratic Party (NDP) are not expected to win any seats and are struggling to move out of single digits in the polls. The NDP in particular has historically never had any electoral success in Quebec.

Eastern Quebec

Profile & Notes Electoral History
Until 1984, this region was Liberal territory. The Social Credit has also done well here, winning in Rimouski and in Bellechasse in 1979. Brian Mulroney was able to sweep this region for the Conservatives in 1984 and 1988, using the strong nationalist sentiment in the area. has been a Bloc Québécois stronghold; the Liberals only won Montmagny in 1997 and the Bonaventure region in 1993. When the BQ experienced a decline the Liberal were able to win in the Gaspé, and in a Lévis by-election. However, the BQ have recently experienced a surge in popularity, and it is expected they will pick up seats they had lost here.

Notes:
1- Tremblay not seeking re-election
2- Normand not seeking re-election

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Gaspésie—Îles-de-la-Madeleine Raynald Blais
21,446		 Georges Farrah
12,579		 Guy de Coste
2,636		 Phil Toone
805		 Bob Eichenberger
1,060		   Georges Farrah
Lévis—Bellechasse Réal Lapierre
21,930		 Christian Jobin
13,664		 Gilles Vézina
9,425		 Louise Foisy
1,910		 Sylvain Castonguay
2,372		 Christophe Vaillancourt (Comm.)
163		 Christian Jobin
Matapédia—Matane Jean-Yves Roy
17,878		 Marc Bélanger
9,653		 Vahid Fortin-Vidah
1,972		 Jean-Guy Côté
1,581		 Nicolas Deville
585		   Jean-Yves Roy
Rimouski—Témiscouata Louise Thibault
22,215		 Côme Roy
9,161		 Denis Quimper
3,445		 Guy Caron
2,717		 Marjolaine Delaunière
1,008		   Suzanne Tremblay1
Rivière-du-Loup—Montmagny Paul Crête
25,327		 Isabelle Mignault
13,124		 Marc-André Drolet
4,040		 Frédérick Garon
876		 André Clermont
962		   Paul Crête
merged district
Gilbert Normand2

Côte-Nord and Saguenay

Profile & Notes Electoral History
This region used to be traditionally Liberal, except for Roberval which has voted for the Social Credit Party. The Liberal dominance in this area ended in 1984 as Brian Mulroney, who is from this area was able to gather nationalist Quebec support, and sweep this region in 1984 and 1988. With the advent of the natioanlist Bloc Québécois in 1993, nationalist support left the tories, and this area became a traditional Bloc Québécois stronghold. This is true except for the Chicoutimi area which has voted federalist with André Harvey running as a Progressive Conservative and winning in 1997, and running as a Liberal and winning in 2000. This election is expected to have similar results, with the BQ winning nearly all the seats. The NDP is running star candidate Pierre Ducasse in Manicouagan, but he is not expected to win.

Notes:
1- Girard-Bujold lost nomination
2- Fournier not seeking re-election

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Charlevoix—Montmorency David Poirier
25,451		 Lisette Lepage
8,598		 Guy-Léonard Tremblay
5,259		 Steeve Hudon
1,055		 Yves Jourdain
1,422		   Michel Guimond
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Robert Bouchard
20,650		 André Harvey
19,387		 Alcide Boudreault
2,385		 Éric Dubois
1,699		 Paul Tremblay
1,038		   André Harvey
Jonquière—Alma Sébastien Gagnon
25,193		 Daniel Giguère
13,355		 Gilles Lavoie
2,217		 François Picard
1,561		 Jean-Sébastien Busque
679		 Jocelyne Girard-Bujold (Ind.)
2,737
Michel Perron (Comm.)
121		 Sébastien Gagnon
merged district
Jocelyne Girard-Bujold1
Manicouagan Gérard Asselin
19,040		 Anthony Detroio
8,097		 Pierre Paradis
1,601		 Pierre Ducasse
3,361		 Les Parsons
444		   Gérard Asselin
merged district
Ghislain Fournier2
Roberval Michel Gauthier
20,655		 Michel Malette
8,064		 Ghislain Lavoie
3,011		 Isabelle Tremblay
1,777		 Marc-André Gauthier
1,260		   Michel Gauthier

Quebec City

Profile & Notes Electoral History
Quebec City is a traditional Liberal region, but that ended in 1984. The Progressive Conservatives using nationalist support swept here in 1984 and 1988. This nationalist support went to the Bloc Québécois in 1993, making Quebec City a Bloc stronghold. In the 2000 election, however the Liberals were able to gain ground here, winning half the seats in the eastern part of the city, and in the west. However, with the BQ doing well in the polls, it is expected they will win most, if not all seats here, like they did in 1997 and 1993.

Notes:
1- Carignan is former Liberal

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Beauport Christian Simard
22,989		 Dennis Dawson
11,866		 Stéphane Asselin
7,388		 Xavier Trégan
1,896		 Jeannine T. Desharnais
1,577		 Nicolas Frichot (Mar.)
585		 new district
Charlesbourg Richard Marceau
23,886		 Jean-Marie Laliberté
11,911		 Bertrand Proulx
7,306		 François Villeneuve
1,623		 Marilou Moisan-Domm
1,188		 Benjamin Kasapoglu (Mar.)
376		 Richard Marceau
Louis-Hébert Roger Clavet
24,071		 Hélène Scherrer
18,999		 Clermont Gauthier
7,512		 Robert Turcotte
3,112		 Jean-Pierre Guay
2,137		   Hélène Scherrer
Louis-Saint-Laurent Bernard Cleary
17,248		 Michel Fragasso
10,025		 Josée Verner
13,967		 Christopher Bojanowski
1,369		 Yonnel Bonaventure
1,243		 Jean-Guy Carignan (Ind.)
563
Henri Gauvin (Ind.)
332
Dominique Théberge (Comm.)
119		 Jean Guy Carignan1
Québec Christiane Gagnon
24,373		 Jean-Phillipe Côté
12,982		 Pierre Gaudreault
5,330		 Jean-Marie Fiset
2,670		 Antonine Yaccarini
2,046		 Jean Bédard (M-L)
223
Pierre-Etienne Paradis (Mar.)
512		 Christiane Gagnon

Central Quebec

Profile & Notes Electoral History
This area is one that traditionally votes for the Bloc Québécois. In fact, all the seats have gone BQ in the last two elections except for Saint-Maurice (in both) and Portneuf in 2000, which both went Liberal; and former Prime Minister Jean Chrétien ran in Saint-Maurice. It is expected that the Bloc Québécois may be able to sweep this region. Before the rise of Mulroney in 1984, this area was traditionally Liberal, except for the Joliette area which is traditionally Conservative (only riding to vote Conservative, or anything other than Liberal in Quebec in 1980), and Lotbinière which voted Social Credit in 1979. Mulroney's Conservatives swept the area in 1988, and 1984 (except for Chrétien's seat).

Notes:
1- formerly held by Jean Chrétien
2- Rocheleau not seeking re-election

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Berthier—Maskinongé Guy André
29,432		 Laurier Thibault
11,198		 Ann Julie Fortier
5,535		 Denis McKinnon
1,653		 Eric Labrecque
1,314		   new district
Joliette Pierre Paquette
30,661		 Jean-François Coderre
10,975		 Daniel Bouchard
3,107		 Jacques Trudeau
1,755		 Wendy Gorchinsky
1,147		 Marco Geoffroy (Mar.)
701		 Pierre Paquette
Lotbinière—Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Odina Desrochers
20,245		 Anicet Gagné
9,445		 Jean Landry
10,628		 Jean Bernatchez
2,091		 Rama Borne MacDonald
1,615		   Odina Desrochers
Montcalm Roger Gaudet
34,383		 Daniel Brazeau
7,915		 Michel Paulette
2,831		 François Rivest
1,531		 Serge Bellemare
1,606		   Roger Gaudet
Portneuf Guy Côté
18,471		 Claude Duplain
11,863		 Howard Bruce
9,251		 Jean-François Breton
1,540		 Pierre Poulin
1,925		   Claude Duplain
Repentigny Benoît Sauvageau
35,907		 Lévis Brien
9,353		 Allen Mackenzie
2,447		 André Cardinal
1,526		 Jean-François Léveque
1,482		 François Boudreau (Mar.)
539		 Benoît Sauvageau
Richelieu Louis Plamondon
31,497		 Ghislaine Provencher
11,045		 Daniel Proulx
3,726		 Charles Bussières
1,017		 Jean-Pierre Bonenfant
839		 Daniel Blackburn (Mar.)
580		 Louis Plamondon
Saint-Maurice—Champlain Marcel Gagnon
25,918		 Marie-Eve Bilodeau
14,320		 Martial Toupin
4,129		 Pierre J.C. Allard
1,104		 Pierre Audette
855		 Paul Giroux (Mar.)
547		 (vacant)1
merged district
Marcel Gagnon
Trois-Rivières Paule Brunelle
26,240		 Jean-Éric Guindon
12,703		 Jean-Guy Mercier
4,381		 Marc Tessier
1,635		 Linda Lavoie
1,476		   Yves Rocheleau2

Eastern Townships

Profile & Notes Electoral History
The Eastern Townships are a somewhat federalist area of Quebec. In 1988 and 1984 this area was nearly swept by the Progressive Conservatives under Brian Mulroney, winning all but one seat in 1988 (Shefford) and two in 1984 (Shefford and Richmond-Wolfe). Previously, the tories only had one riding won in either 1979 or 1980, and that was in Missisquoi in 1979. The Social Credit party also won a seat here in 1979, in Beauce. By the following election in 1993, Mulroney had left office and support for the Tories all across Quebec moved to the Bloc Québécois. Locally, the Bloc won all but two seats; the exceptions were in Beauce, which was won by former Conservative Gilles Bernier who ran as an independent, and in Sherbrooke, where Jean Charest was one of only two PC candidates to win in all of Canada. By 1997, he was PC leader and local candidates running on his coattails did well, resulting in a split between the Progressive Conservatives (four seats) the Bloc Québécois (three seats) and the Liberals (two seats). However in 1998, Charest moved to provincial politics as leader of the Quebec Liberal Party (which is independent of the federal Liberals, despite the similarity of names), and without him local support for the PCs declined. By the 2000 election, two of the PC members, David Price and Diane St-Jacques, had left the party and joined the federal Liberals. André Bachand remained with the PCs in 2000 and was re-elected, but declined to join the newly merged Conservative Party of Canada and is retiring from politics in 2004. Traditional Bloc support in this region is concentrated in the northwest part, and in the Frontenac-Megantic region. It is expected that the Liberals will likely edge out the Bloc here by one or two seats, and the Conservatives will not be a factor.

Notes:
1 - Bachand is former PC, and is not seeking re-election

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Beauce Jean-François Barbe
17,168		 Claude Drouin
19,592		 Alain Guay
8,091		 Philippe Giguère
1,443		 Michel Binette
1,054		   Claude Drouin
Brome—Missisquoi Christian Ouellet
17,537		 Denis Paradis
18,609		 Peter Stastny
4,888		 Piper Huggins
1,177		 Louise Martineau
2,011		   Denis Paradis
Compton—Stanstead France Bonsant
20,450		 David Price
15,752		 Gary Caldwell
4,589		 Martin Baller
1,451		 Laurier Busque
1,546		   David Price
Drummond Pauline Picard
23,670		 Roger Gougeon
9,591		 Lyne Boisvert
7,123		 Blake Evans
745		 Louis Lacroix
921		   Pauline Picard
Mégantic—L'Érable Marc Boulianne
19,264		 Gérard Binet
15,778		 Yves Mailly
4,916		 Alexandre Côté
1,608		 Bruno Vézina
1,489		   Gérard Binet
Richmond—Arthabaska André Bellavance
26,211		 Christine St-Pierre
12,809		 Pierre Poissant
4,925		 Jason Noble
1,540		 Lucie LaForest
1,699		   André Bachand1
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot Yvan Loubier
29,789		 Michel Gaudette
10,558		 Andrée Champagne
5,240		 Joëlle Chevrier
1,204		 Bruno Godbout
948		   Yvan Loubier
Shefford Robert Vincent
21,968		 Diane St-Jacques
18,725		 Jacques Parenteau
3,732		 Sonia Bisson
1,146		 Francine Brière
1,571		   Diane St-Jacques
Sherbrooke Serge Cardin
29,323		 Bruno-Marie Béchard
15,482		 Réal Leblanc
2,142		 Philippe Dion
1,463		 Jeffrey Champagne
1,509		   Serge Cardin

Montérégie

Profile & Notes Electoral History
This area has been traditionally Liberal, until 1984 and 1988 when Mulroney swept every riding in both election. Since then, Montreal's South Shore suburbs have been a battleground between the Liberals and the Bloc Québécois because of the collapse of the Progressive Conservative Party in 1993. The more rural ridings of Saint-Jean, Verchères—Les-Patriotes and Chambly—Borduas are BQ strongholds, although in the later the party is being challenged by a popular incumbent running as an independent candidate. Vaudreuil-Soulanges, west of Montreal, has a significant anglophone population and can be expected to vote Liberal.

Notes:
1 - Lebel is former Bloc Québécois
2 - Lanctôt defected from the Bloc Québécois in Dec. 2003
2 - Venne is former Bloc Québécois, and is not seeking re-election

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Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Beauharnois—Salaberry Alain Boire
26,775		 Serge Marcil
18,293		 Dominique Bellemare
4,864		 Ligy Alakkattussery
1,018		 Rémi Pelletier
1,415		 Felix Malboeuf (Mar.)
480		 Serge Marcil
Brossard—La Prairie Marcel Lussier
21,596		 Jacques Saada
24,155		 Robert Nicolas
3,107		 Nadia Alexan
2,321		 Cécile Bissonnette
1,340		 Yves Le Seigle (M-L)
109		 Jacques Saada
Chambly—Borduas Yves Lessard
33,945		 Sophie Joncas
12,694		 Lucien Richard
4,219		 Daniel Blouin
2,681		 Benoit Lapointe
2,248		   Ghislain Lebel1
Châteauguay—Saint-Constant Denise Poirier-Rivard
29,337		 Robert Lanctôt
15,384		 Rosaire Turcot
2,902		 Mélanie Archambault
1,704		 Marc-André Gadoury
1,889		   Robert Lanctôt2
Longueuil Caroline St-Hilaire
29,473		 Robert Gladu
12,363		 Richard Bélisle
2,354		 Nicole Fournier-Sylvester
2,512		 Michel Bédard
1,263		 David Fiset (Mar.)
401		 Caroline St-Hilaire
Saint-Bruno—Saint-Hubert Carole Lavallée
28,050		 Marc Savard
15,457		 Jean-François Mongeau
3,189		 Marie Henretta
2,253		 Janis Crawford
1,349		 David Vachon (Mar.)
596		 Pierrette Venne3
Saint-Jean Claude Bachand
29,485		 Michel Fecteau
12,729		 Joseph Khoury
3,856		 Jonathan Trépanier
1,687		 Claude Genest
1,298		   Claude Bachand
Saint-Lambert Maka Kotto
22,024		 Yolande Thibeault
16,654		 Patrick Clune
2,739		 Monique Garcia
2,130		 Diane Joubert
1,404		 Normand Fournier (M-L)
145		 Yolande Thibeault
Vaudreuil—Soulanges Meili Faille
24,675		 Nick Discepola
21,613		 Rob Ramage
4,558		 Bert Markgraf
2,175		 Julie Baribeau
2,103		 Charles Soucy (Mar.)
585		 Nick Discepola
Verchères—Les-Patriotes Stéphane Bergeron
33,333		 Nathalie Tousignant
9,958		 Francis-Pierre Rémillard
2,750		 Simon Vallée
1,815		 Phillipe Morlighem
975		 Sébastien Drouin (Mar.)
463		 Stéphane Bergeron

Eastern Montreal

Main article: Canadian federal election results for Eastern Montreal

The eastern end of the Island of Montreal is the city's only solidly sovereigntist area. With the exception of ethnic areas that protrude from Northern Montreal into the East Island's Honoré-Mercier riding, the area is relatively homogenously francophone and lower-income, a recipe for Bloc Québécois dominance since 1993. Prior to the rise of the Bloc, the area backed nationalists running under Mulroney's PC banner. Before 1984 the area was solidly Liberal.
Notes:
1 - Charbonneau not seeking re-election

Profile & Notes Electoral History
••••• 2004
••••• 2000
••••• 1997
••••• 1993
••••• 1988
•••••• 1984
•••••• 1980
•••••• 1979
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Hochelaga Réal Ménard
27,476		 Benoit Bouvier
11,712		 Mario Bernier
1,856		 David Gagnon
2,510		 Rolf Bramann
1,361		 Christine Dandenault (M-L)
112
Pierre Bibeau (Comm.)
190
Antoine Théorêt-Poupart (Mar.)
482		 Réal Ménard
Honoré-Mercier Éric St-Hilaire
19,461		 Pablo Rodriguez
22,223		 Gianni Chiazzese
2,902		 François Pilon
1,973		 Richard Lahaie
852		 Hélène Héroux (M-L)
164
Steve Boudrias (Mar.)
626		 Yvon Charbonneau1
La Pointe-de-l'Île Francine Lalonde
30,713		 Jean-Claude Gobé
10,593		 Christian Prévost
1,961		 André Langevin
1,751		 André Levert
1,186		   Francine Lalonde
Laurier Gilles Duceppe
28,728		 Jean-François Thibault
8,454		 Pierre Albert
1,224		 François Gregoire
5,779		 Dylan Perceval-Maxwell
2,912		 Ginette Boutet (M-L)
154
Nicky Tanguay (Mar.)
572		 Gilles Duceppe
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie Bernard Bigras
31,224		 Christian Bolduc
11,572		 Michel Sauvé
1,561		 Benoît Beauchamp
3,876		 François Chevalier
2,145		 Kenneth Higham (Comm.)
145		 Bernard Bigras

Western Montreal

Main article: Canadian federal election results for Western Montreal

Montreal boasts some of the most highly-polarized political geography in Canada: While the Bloc Québécois is strong in the mostly francophone East End, the Western portions of the city have been a Liberal fortress for the past half-century and contains some of the safest Liberal seats in the country. High anglophone populations and relative affluence in some ridings prompt ludicrously high Grit returns; it has been wryly noted that if a mailbox stood for election in seats like Mount Royal it would win simply because it was red. Even in the surge of Brian Mulroney's Conservatives the Liberals won most of the seats. Today, despite the sponsorship scandal rocking Liberal support in Quebec, it would truly require a nightmarish meltdown scenario for the Liberals to lose even a handful of seats here. Incumbents in the area are almost entirely current and former cabinet ministers, including Prime Minister Paul Martin.

Notes:
1 - Lincoln not seeking re-election
2 - Cauchon not seeking re-election

Profile & Notes Electoral History
••••••••• 2004
••••••••• 2000
••••••••• 1997
••••••••• 1993
••••••••• 1988
••••••••• 1984
••••••••• 1980
••••••••• 1979
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Jeanne-Le Ber Thierry St-Cyr
18,694		 Liza Frulla
18,766		 Pierre-Albert Sévigny
2,524		 Anthony Philbin
3,160		 Jean Claude Mercier
1,864		 Normand Chouinard (M-L)
148
Cathy Duschene (Mar.)
520		 Liza Frulla
Lac-Saint-Louis Maxime Côté
5,106		 Francis Scarpaleggia
32,122		 Jeff Howard
6,082		 Daniel Quinn
3,789		 Peter Graham
2,584		 Patrick Cardinal (Mar.)
578		 Clifford Lincoln1
LaSalle—Émard Thierry Larrivée
14,001		 Paul Martin
25,806		 Nicole Roy-Arcelin
2,271		 Rebecca Blaikie
1,995		 Douglas Jack
1,000		 Marc-Boris St-Maurice (Mar.)
349
Jean-Paul Bédard (M-L)
210		 Paul Martin
Mount Royal Vincent Gagnon
2,636		 Irwin Cotler
28,670		 Matthew Fireman
3,271		 Sebastien Beaudet
1,859		 Adam Sommerfeld
1,046		 Diane Johnston (M-L)
94
Adam Greenblatt (Mar.)
308		 Irwin Cotler
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Lachine Jean-Philippe Chartré
9,736		 Marlene Jennings
23,552		 Bill McCullock
4,526		 Maria Pia Chávez
3,513		 Jessica Gal
2,214		 Rachel Hoffman (M-L)
88
Jay Dell (Mar.)
479
Earl Wertheimer (Libert.)
165		 Marlene Jennings
Outremont François Rebello
12,730		 Jean Lapierre
15,675		 Marc Rousseau
2,284		 Omar Aktouf
5,382		 Shaun Perceval-Maxwell
1,643		 Linda Sullivan (M-L)
120
Yan Lacombe (Mar.)
452		 Martin Cauchon2
Pierrefonds—Dollard Marie-Hélène Brunet
7,426		 Bernard Patry
29,601		 Andrea Paine
5,010		 Danielle Lustgarten
2,545		 Ted Kouretas
1,401		 Garnet Colly (M-L)
71
Jean-François Labrecque (Mar.)
511		 Bernard Patry
Saint-Laurent—Cartierville William Fayad
7,261		 Stéphane Dion
28,107		 Marc Rahmé
2,606		 Zaid Mahayni
2,630		 Almaz Aladass
875		 Fernand Deschamps (M-L)
125
Alex Neron (Mar.)
298
Nilda Vargas (Comm.)
78
Ken Fernandez (CAP)
84		 Stéphane Dion
Westmount—Ville-Marie Louis La Rochelle
5,922		 Lucienne Robillard
22,337		 Robert Gervais
4,027		 Eric Steedman
4,795		 Brian Sarwer-Foner
2,419		 Serge Lachapelle (M-L)
103
David John Proctor (Mar.)
396		 Lucienne Robillard

Northern Montreal and Laval

Main article: Canadian federal election results for Northern Montreal and Laval

The City of Laval has been a battleground between the Liberals and the Bloc Québécois, and either party could win there in this election. The North End of Montreal has significant immigrant populations and generally supports the Liberals, although the BQ captured Ahuntsic and Bourassa in their 1993 near-sweep of the province. This area was traditionally Liberal until Mulroney's rise to power in 1984, when the Liberals lost two seats, and even more so in 1988 when they were reduced to just three seats.

Notes:
1 - Dalphond-Guiral lost nomination

Profile & Notes Electoral History
•••••••• 2004
••••••• 2000
••••••• 1997
•••••••• 1993
•••••••• 1988
•••••••• 1984
•••••••• 1980
•••••••• 1979
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Ahuntsic Maria Mourani
20,020		 Eleni Bakopanos
21,234		 Jean E. Fortier
2,544		 Annick Bergeron
3,013		 Lynette Tremblay
1,301		 Marsha Fine (M-L)
102
F.X. De Longchamp (Mar.)
314		 Eleni Bakopanos
Alfred-Pellan Robert Carrier
26,239		 Carole-Marie Allard
21,116		 Rosane Raymond
2,703		 Benjamin Le Bel
1,849		 Louis-Philippe Verenka
1,132		 Yves Desbois (Ind.)
204
Régent Millette (Ind.)
89		 Carole-Marie Allard
Bourassa Doris Provencher
15,794		 Denis Coderre
20,927		 Frédéric Grenier
2,226		 Stefano Saykaly
1,661		 Noémi Lopinto
660		 Geneviève Royer (M-L)
154
Philippe Gauvin (Mar.)
403		 Denis Coderre
Laval Nicole Demers
24,425		 Pierre Lafleur
17,639		 Stéphane d'Amours
3,115		 Alain Giguère
1,998		 Damien Pichereau
1,091		 Pierre Losier-Côté (Mar.)
492		 new district
Laval—Les Îles Micaël Poirier
18,597		 Raymonde Folco
23,985		 Jean-Paul Pratte
3,498		 Paul Michaud
2,202		 Pierre Véronneau
1,178		 Polyvios Tsakanikas (M-L)
154
Michel Allard (Mar.)
498		 Raymonde Folco
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Serge Ménard
30,779		 Nancy Girard
14,491		 Marc Bissonnette
3,125		 Lyse Généreux
1,867		 Lise Bissonnette
2,012		   Madeleine Dalphond-Guiral1
Papineau Martine Carrière
16,424		 Pierre Pettigrew
16,892		 Mustaque Sarker
1,961		 André Frappier
3,603		 Adam Jastrzebski
1,058		 Peter Macrisopolous (M-L)
169
André Parizeau (Comm.)
252
Christelle Dusablon-Pelletier (Mar.)
490
Jimmy Garoufalis (Ind.)
250		 Pierre Pettigrew
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel Paul-Alexis François
8,852		 Massimo Pacetti
25,884		 Payam Eslami
2,138		 Laura Colella
2,422		 Ricardo Fellicetti
944		 Stéphane Chénier (M-L)
267		 Massimo Pacetti

Laurentides, Outaouais and Northern Quebec

Profile & Notes Electoral History
The Ouatouais is one of the most federalist areas of Quebec outside of Montreal because of the large population of civil servants, however once one gets into Northern Quebec and the Laurentides you are in Bloc Québécois Territory. Only in a recent by-election were the Liberals able to get the traditionally Bloquiste riding of Temiscamingue, having previously gained the northern riding of Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik in 1997. Abitibi voted Social Credit in 1979. Hull has been the only riding that survived Mulroney's winnings in Quebec, as it went Liberal in 1988 and 1984. Gatineau was the only other Liberal riding in 1988. The Liberals will likely sweep the Outaouais again in 2004, with the Bloc winning in the Laurentides region. The true battleground will be in the north, with the Liberals hoping to hang on to their two seats there.

Notes:
1 - Assad not seeking re-election
2 - Bertrand lost nomination

 •••••••••• 2004
••••••••• 2000
••••••••• 1997
••••••••• 1993
••••••••• 1988
••••••••• 1984
••••••••• 1980
••••••••• 1979
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent

BQ
Liberal
Cons.
NDP
Green		 Other
Abitibi—Témiscamingue Marc Lemay
25,041		 Gilbert Barrette
13,457		 Bernard Hughes Beauchesne
2,425		 Dennis Shushack
1,472		 Patrick Rancourt
1,037		   Gilbert Barrette
Argenteuil—Mirabel Mario Laframboise
28,228		 Yves Sabourin
13,214		 David McArthur
3,460		 Elisabeth Clark
1,493		 Claude Sabourin
2,510		 Michael O'Grady (M-L)
69
Laurent Filion (CHP)
202		 Mario Laframboise
Gatineau Richard Nadeau
18,368		 Françoise Boivin
19,198		 Gérard Nicolas
3,461		 Dominique Vaillancourt
2,610		 Brian Gibb
1,402		 Gabriel Girard-Bernier (M-L)
125
Stephane Salko (Mar.)
453		 Mark Assad1
Hull—Aylmer Alain Charette
15,626		 Marcel Proulx
20,135		 Pierrette Bellefeuille
3,963		 Pierre Laliberté
5,709		 Gail Walker
2,561		 Christian Legeais (M-L)
98		 Marcel Proulx
Laurentides—Labelle Johanne Deschamps
28,675		 Dominique Boyer
14,459		 Guillaume Desjardins
2,887		 Brendan Naef
1,320		 Jacques Léger
1,781		   new district
Nunavik—Eeyou Yvon Lévesque
12,578		 Guy St-Julien
12,006		 François Dionne
1,265		 Pierre Corbeil
1,097		 Martin Fournier
862		   Guy St-Julien
Pontiac Hubert Leduc
11,685		 David Smith
15,358		 Judith Grant
8,869		 Gretchen Schwarz
2,317		 Thierry Vicente
1,673		 Benoit Legros (M-L)
132		 Robert Bertrand2
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Gilles-A. Perron
27,993		 Yolaine Savignac
11,025		 Érick Gauthier
3,064		 Nicolas Du Cap
1,559		 Marie-Martine Bédard
1,961		   Gilles-A. Perron
Rivière-du-Nord Monique Guay
29,204		 Lorraine Auclair
9,509		 Catherine Brousseau
2,435		 François Côté
1,290		 Marcel Poirier
1,129		 Christian Marcoux (Mar.)
459		 Monique Guay
Terrebonne—Blainville Diane Bourgeois
31,288		 Pierre Gingras
9,048		 Patrick Légaré
2,582		 Normand Beaudet
1,451		 Martin Drapeau
1,554		   Diane Bourgeois